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Quant / TradingResearch

PolyMind: AI-gated prediction market arbitrage

Trained an XGBoost classifier on 5,000 trading scenarios to predict trade fill probability in volatile prediction markets. Avoids liquidity traps by gating every trade through confidence thresholds — simulated PnL of +$18,211.

Training scenarios5,000
Simulated PnL+$18,211
ModelXGBoost